Return to Common Sense

October 23, 2008

Section: Foreign – Middle East

“Iraq and Afghanistan today are the central front in the Global War on Terror and both have shown tremendous success, but Iran continues to foment terror across many countries in the Middle East.”

 

Philosophy (Background, Issues, Objectives):

Economic, social and political globalization has passed most of the recalcitrant Middle East by.

Israel has been under siege since it was formed by the UN in 1948.

o       Terror technique of suicide bombing was extensively used in Israel from 1982-1986.

o       UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) has been in place since 1982 and ineffective in south Lebanon enforcing resolution forbidding Hezbollah attacks.

o       Hamas and Hezbollah answered concession with rocket attacks and kidnapping.

o       Hezbollah locate military in populated areas creating human shields, violating Article 58 of Protocol 1.

o       Israel pursued Hezbollah in populated areas which is permitted by Article 28 of 4th Geneva Convention.

o       Hezbollah is undermining and attempting to take over the Lebanese government.

o       Israel built a security fence on the Lebanon border, which has reduced attacks by 90%.

o       Hamas has undermined and taken over the Gaza government.

Palestine has never been a discrete Middle East country.

o       UN non-binding Resolution 194 allowed refugees to return “to live in peace with their neighbors.”

o       Arab Palestinians never advocated for statehood while Gaza Strip was ruled by Egypt and the West Bank by Jordan.

o       Right of Return also applies to Jews who were forced to flee oppression.

o       Arab Palestinians claim all of Israel as their homeland

o       PLO, Hamas, and Islamic Resistance Movement are based on jihad as only solution.

Arab-Israeli conflict is governed by some long term realities:

Afghanistan was the first country engaged in the War on Terror.

Pakistan signed up as one of the first allies in the War on Terror.

o       Evidence has been uncovered that terrorists are being trained for attacks outside Pakistan.

o       Attacks in Afghanistan are being staged in northwestern Pakistan.

Iraq is recovering from its war, has elected a representative government, but needs time to mature.

o       Iraq repeatedly violated the UN resolutions and expelled the UN inspectors in 1998.

o       Evidence of Iraq WMD weapons and development programs were uncovered awaiting the opportunity for reconstituting their development programs.

o       Evidence has been uncovered to implicate Saddam Hussein training and supporting Islamo-fascist terrorist organizations.

o       The war freed 25 million Iraqis and reconstruction is underway to build a stable pro-American democracy.

·        The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Phase II Iraq Report substantiated all the reasons that President Bush cited as rationale for invading Iraq:

o       Nuclear weapons program: "generally substantiated by intelligence community estimates."

o       Biological weapons, production capability and those infamous mobile laboratories: "substantiated by intelligence information."

o       Chemical weapons: "substantiated by intelligence information."

o       Weapons of Mass Destruction overall: "generally substantiated by intelligence information."

o       Delivery vehicles such as ballistic missiles: "generally substantiated by available intelligence."

o       Unmanned aerial vehicles that could be used to deliver WMDs: "generally substantiated by intelligence information."

o       Iraq's support for terrorist groups other than al-Qaeda: "substantiated by intelligence information."

o       Iraq provided safe haven for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and other terrorists with ties to al-Qaeda: "substantiated by the intelligence assessments."

o       Iraq's contacts with al-Qaeda: "substantiated by intelligence information."

o       We took our eye of the ball in Afghanistan by going into Iraq, thereby allowing the Taliban to regain the advantage.

o       Bush lied about the war and entered it under false circumstances of fears of WMD and Iraqi ties to al Qaeda.

o       Mistakes in Iraq were legion and irreversible.

o       Democratization was naοve and bound to fail, given the realities of the tribal Middle East.

o       The real winner of the war was Iran.

o       President Bush’s presidency was ruined in Iraq.

o       Our military is nearly ruined and the war was never worth the cost.

Iraq today is the central battlefield in the global war on terror and the terrorists are losing!

o       They have not won control of any territory or even broadened their constituency.

o       After 3 years of near daily killings, the jihadists have failed to alter Iraq’s political agenda.

o       Meanwhile they have suffered thousands of casualties, with many captured.

o       Despite more than 120 suicide operations, the jihadists have been on the defensive.

o       Tribal alliances are forming to chase al Qaeda out of Iraq.

Iran remains an Islamic nation supporting unrest across the Middle East.

o       UN economic sanctions to stop Iranian nuclear development have been ineffectual.

Syria has ties to several Islamo-fascist organizations.

o       Iraq is believed to have shipped much of their WMD material to Syria prior to invasion.

o       Syria has developed a very close relationship with North Korea in their nuclear development program.

o       In 2007 Israel destroyed a secret plutonium reactor to slow nuclear development effort.

 

Principles:

Continue to reinforce the vision of peace and democracy contained in the Bush Doctrine.

Only negotiate with governments that renounce terrorist organizations.

 

Recommendations:

Define the conflicts in the Middle East as one major theater in the Global War on Terror.

o       Expel Americans from Iraq.

o       Establish an Islamic emirate in Iraq and develop it into a caliphate.

o       Extend the jihad to Iraq’s secular neighbors.

o       Win the inevitable battle with Israel.

Endorse moderate Muslims attempts to distance themselves from the Islamic extremists.

Allow Israel to defend themselves against the terrorist organizations to the South and North.

Pressure Lebanon to regain control and not allow terrorist organizations to operate inside their borders

Pressure Syria, diplomatically and economically, to stop support for terrorist organizations.

Work with Pakistan to eliminate terrorist sanctuaries.

Allow Iraq government time to mature to defend themselves against terrorists and Baathists.

o       Honor security agreements should violence escalate after we leave

Continue to support the Afghan government to rid the country of Taliban and Al-Qaeda elements.

Pressure Iran, diplomatically and economically, to withdraw support for terrorist organizations.

 

References:

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